Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Powerful thoughts

While nuclear power should never be a first choice, due to the many dangers (in operation, the costs involved, and the waste material produced) it can be a viable alternative. That is, nuclear power is not something to 'direct away from' a priori, but an option.  Another topic of discussion in producing the energy that more than seven billion fellow travelers on this planet require now and will require in the future.   

Take for example France, the largest exporter of power derived from nuclear sources. The country has some 58 nuclear power plants, which produce about 70-80% of the electrical power in that country, or put in another way, about 40% or so of its total power consumption, versus about 10% in the United States.

The population density in France is more than 300% of that in the US (2004, that was 110 people versus 31 people, per square kilometer) so France's solutions would not be the  solutions for the United States, especially given the existing natural resources in each respective country based upon the area of the nation. But still, dismissing one particular solution over another out of hand (without a through investigation of the pros and cons, costs and benefits, and risks and rewards) is not necessarily a logical manner of determining the best choices overall. Life is full of dangers regardless of their source, either way.   Even if not planning on using such, one must understand all the factors relating to the issues in specific circumstances, so as to come to a reasonable conclusion based upon those specific factors.

As far as conventional fuel sources go, there are a number of issues involved, bypassing even the question of nuclear energy.   With conventional sources, hopefully (perhaps expectedly) research and development (as well as economic pressures and the like) will result in cleaner coal-fired power plants, although that still does leave the question of mining the coal, and its availability. Sources of methane give the impression that there is basically a limitless supply, although some debate still exists on the subject. New discoveries of oil, and the quantities of it available from shale (and the economic pressures and advances in technology) make it also a resource that should far exceed the expectations of its continued availability. So on multiple fronts, the use of conventional fuels does not seem to be going away any time soon, regardless of what using them means on an environmental front one way or the other. We must deal with what is, not what we want it to be.

So to get to the "alternative renewable sources" other than nuclear.

Hydro-based power is currently responsible for much of both the base and peak contribution to non-fossil fuel energy sources, but there is a limit to how much energy water can produce, which depends upon the location and the systems to produce it more so than we can directly control the water itself upon demand.

Wind-based power may contribute more and more, but there is a limit to both the efficiency and costs of wind turbines, as well as a limit to where we can put them and how many we can put there. There are also other ramifications such as aesthetic and wildlife concerns.

Solar-based power is also promising, with recent thin film and clear cell technologies that will spread out emplacement and efficiency. After taking into consideration life cycle and maintenance considerations of course. This seems the most promising of the alternative fuels.

Hydrogen-based power can also be an answer. Creating hydrogen fuel and stations in various areas with the population density or pollution concerns to make it practically or economically viable can be part of the answer.

Biofuels are also a possibility, but they have their own trip-wires, such as over the cycle, it seems that adding and removing the vegetation would lower the amount of greenhouse gases they can sink far more than the benefits of replacing petroleum provide. Although there is some indication that food sources may be impacted by using agriculture to produced fuel instead, this is probably a red-herring, perhaps; the source versus sink issue is a far larger concern.

In most of the above cases, the issue is also of storage. What battery technologies are here now, and what are on the horizon, to store the created energy that can't be fed back into the grid?

This all leads to the question. In the face of scarce resources, how do we best manage them for both the planet and humanity? What possible unintended consequences do we face now and in the future? Is humanity actually able to control what the weather and climate do? Are the same technological advances that allowed over seven billion of us to be alive able to reduce or remove whatever affect we have upon the planet, given the uncertainties that exist?

Regardless, when it comes down to the end of the trail on this subject, humans and their actions producing energy by the use of fuels and the way we shape the surface of our habitat is an issue that needs to be wisely managed and planned for in the future, and only by an honest assessment of all possibilities and their consequences can we reach a reasonable answer that will not cause other problems that we didn't expect.